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šŸ’„ Big earnings (Apple, Amazon, Mastercard and more)

and inflation is reaching target

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Good morning investors! October proved to be a dull month as stocks fell down yesterday.

Today we cover:

  • Prices are getting lower

  • Big names announce earnings (Amazon, Apple, and more)

  • International companies announce earnings (Samsung, BYD, and more)

šŸ“Š Economy and News 

Inflation Rises Slightly in September, Approaches Federal Reserveā€™s Target

In September, inflation inched closer to the Federal Reserveā€™s target, as the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose by 0.2% on a seasonally adjusted basis, with the annual inflation rate reaching 2.1%, according to the Commerce Departmentā€™s recent report. This is the primary gauge for inflation used by the Fed, which aims for a 2% annual rateā€”a target that has remained elusive since February 2021.

The core inflation rate, excluding volatile food and energy prices, stood at 2.7% for the year after a 0.3% monthly rise, slightly exceeding expectations but matching August's rate. Although the headline rate signals progress toward the Fed's goal, this core rate highlights ongoing challenges in managing inflation precisely.

As the Fed meets next week, markets anticipate a rate cut following Septemberā€™s significant half-point reduction, an unusual move during economic expansion. Despite inflation's slight climb, Fed officials express confidence that it will stabilize, though concerns over labor market resilience persist.

Data from the Labor Department on unemployment claims reflects this, showing a drop to 216,000 for the week ending October 26, below forecasts and indicative of strong labor retention.

Additionally, the report highlighted steady personal income and spending growth. Personal income rose by 0.3%, meeting expectations, while consumer spending outpaced forecasts with a 0.5% increase. The steady consumer activity provides a reassuring indicator amidst inflation concerns.

Lastly, U.S. labor costs recorded their smallest increase in more than three years in the third quarter amid cooling wage growth, indicating that inflation was firmly on a downward trend.

Global hits:

Exciting: UBS thinks markets can rally further from here. Make sure to not miss out on such opportunities by joining our sponsor, Bullseye Trades, which offers daily hot stocks and more.

Something about China: Chinaā€™s factory activity expands for the first time since April yet top Chinese airlinesā€™ profits fall as flagging economy pressures fares.

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šŸ“ˆ Stocks

S&P 500 5,705.45 (-1.86%)
DJIA 41,763.46 (-0.90%)
NASDAQ 18,095.15 (-2.76%)
BRENT CRUDE 73.16 (+0.86%)
* Prices as of Nov 1st, 12:20 AM UTC

Stocks tumble with Microsoft recording worst day in two years

Microsoft had its worst day in 2 years declining -5% following disappointing revenue guidance. Similarly, Meta Platforms saw a -4% drop after the parent company of Facebook fell short of market expectations for user growth and issued a warning about significantly rising capital expenditures in 2025.

As a result of these developments, the major stock indices are poised to finish the week on a down note. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has decreased by 0.6% since the start of the week, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have seen steeper declines of 1.6% and 2.2%, respectively.

Thursday marked the final trading day of what has been a turbulent month for the markets, characterized by increased uncertainty ahead of the upcoming U.S. Presidential election on November 5.

Amazon Beats: Amazon reported stronger-than-expected earnings and revenue for Q3:

  • Earnings: $1.43 per share vs. $1.14 expected

  • Revenue: $158.88 billion vs. $157.2 billion expected

 Amazon Web Services: Revenue of $27.4 billion, slightly below the expected $27.5 billion, but grew 19% year-over-year, improving from 12% growth last year.

 Advertising: Sales reached $14.3 billion, matching expectations and showing a 19% year-over-year increase, outpacing Amazon's retail growth.

Looking ahead, Amazon forecasts Q4 revenue between $181.5 billion and $188.5 billion, representing a year-over-year growth of 7% to 11%. However, the midpoint of $185 billion is below analysts' expectations of $186.2 billion.

The stock went up +5% after the report.

More earnings are here

  • British oil giant Shell reported adjusted earnings of $6 billion for the July-September period, beating analyst expectations of $5.3 billion, according to estimates compiled by LSEG. The energy company said it will buy back a further $3.5 billion of its shares over the next three months, while its dividend remained unchanged at 34 cents per share.

  • Uber reported third-quarter results Thursday that beat analystsā€™ expectations for revenue. The companyā€™s revenue grew 20%, totaling $11.19 billion. For its fourth quarter, Uber said it expects gross bookings between $42.75 billion and $44.25 billion, compared with StreetAccount estimates of $43.68 billion. Uber anticipates adjusted EBITDA of $1.78 billion to $1.88 billion, compared with the $1.83 billion expected by analysts. The report sent the stock down about -10%.

  • Dodge maker Stellantis posts 27% drop in revenues, flags progress in slashing U.S. inventories. It attributed its net revenue drop primarily to ā€œlower shipments and unfavorable mix as well as pricing and foreign exchange impacts.ā€ Milan-listed shares of Stellantis have tumbled more than 42% year-to-date.

  • BYD reported revenue for the three months ended Sept. 30 of 201.12 billion yuan ($28.24 billion), up 24% from a year ago. That exceeded Teslaā€™s revenue of $25.18 billion reported for the same period.

  • Samsung Electronics reported third-quarter sales and operating profit slightly above its own expectations. The semiconductor unit reported third-quarter operating profit of 3.86 trillion won (about $2.8 billion), down 40% from the previous quarter. While artificial intelligence drove demand for advanced chips in its foundry unit, Samsung said mobile and PC demand underperformed.

  • Mastercard reported third quarter EPS of $3.89, $0.15 better than the analyst estimate of $3.74. Revenue for the quarter came in at $7.4B versus the consensus estimate of $7.26B. Mastercard's stock price closed at $513.69. It is up 11.18% in the last 3 months and up 35.96% in the last 12 months. The report, however, sent it down -2%.

Apple: Appleā€™s fiscal fourth-quarter results surpassed Wall Street expectations for revenue and earnings per share, despite a decline in net income due to a one-time charge related to a tax decision in Europe. Overall sales and iPhone sales both increased by 6%, with CEO Tim Cook noting that sales of the iPhone 15 outperformed the iPhone 14 from the previous year.

However, Apple shares fell 1% in extended trading on Thursday. Hereā€™s a summary of the results compared to LSEG consensus estimates for the quarter ending September 28:

  • EPS: $1.64 adjusted vs. $1.60 estimated

  • Revenue: $94.93 billion vs. $94.58 billion estimated

  • iPhone Revenue: $46.22 billion vs. $45.47 billion estimated

  • Mac Revenue: $7.74 billion vs. $7.82 billion estimated

  • iPad Revenue: $6.95 billion vs. $7.09 billion estimated

  • Other Products Revenue: $9.04 billion vs. $9.21 billion estimated

  • Services Revenue: $24.97 billion vs. $25.28 billion estimated

  • Gross Margin: 46.2% vs. 46.0% estimated

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šŸ’µ Personal Finance

Best rewards credit cards

Interested in top rewards credit cards? Here are our picks:

You will need an excellent score (at least 700) to qualify for this card and once you do, you will be rewarded with incredible rewards, including 5x points on travel purchases, 3x on dining, and 2x on all other travel purchases. New users earn 60,000 free points that are easy to redeem. On the downside, the annual fee is a little high at $95 per year.

A little expensive at $250 per year, this card offers $60,000 points to new users once they spend $6,000 on eligible purchases within the first six months. As for rewards, you get 4x points at restaurants (including delivery and takeout) and supermarkets, 3x on flights, and 1x on all other purchases. In addition, you will enjoy a $240 credit to be divided among eligible restaurants and Uber Cash equally. This means the card is almost free.

Not all rewards cards are expensive as the Discover itĀ® Cash Back comes with a $0 annual fee. Other perks include 0% intro APR for 15 months on purchases, 5% cash back on everyday purchases, and Unlimited Cashback Match for the first year, i.e.: a chance to double your cash back.

This card offers points worth $500 when you spend $2,000 in eligible purchases within the first 120 days. There is no annual fee for the first year, but expect to pay $95 from the second year. On the downside, a score of 740 or higher is needed to get approved.

These are all great cards. Pick one only if you need one and youā€™re sure youā€™d be able to pay it on time.

Also, check this video for some tips on choosing a credit card:

šŸ’° Be a Better Investor

ā€œBuy not on optimism, but on arithmetic.ā€

Benjamin Graham

Resources:

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