Good morning investors! This will be an earnings-heavy issue as big names are reporting this week.

Today we cover:

  • Home prices hit new high

  • Update on tariffs

  • Major earnings

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📊 Economy and News

U.S. Median Home Price Hits Record High, Driving Up Monthly Costs

Despite low home sales, U.S. home prices continue to climb, reaching a record median of $435,300 in June 2025, up 2% from last year.

Limited inventory and high demand from affluent buyers, many paying cash, fuel this trend.

With mortgage rates above 6.5%, a median-priced home with a 20% down payment and a 30-year mortgage at 6.81% costs about $2,273 monthly, up $139 since January.

Additional costs like property taxes and insurance can add hundreds more. High prices and rates are expected to persist due to ongoing supply shortages.

Global hits:

A new union? Union Pacific's CFO Jennifer Hamann stated that acquiring Norfolk Southern will create a transcontinental freight railroad, offering faster delivery and lower shipping costs per mile, making it more competitive with trucking.

Hamann highlighted that reliable service will reduce customer inventory and equipment costs due to shorter delivery cycles. Despite expected regulatory scrutiny, the deal is likely to close smoothly, though union leaders' cooperation remains critical.

Good to know: India overtakes China in smartphone exports to the U.S. as manufacturing jumps 240%. Also, JPMorgan Chase is nearing a deal to replace Goldman Sachs as Apple Card issuer as the issuer expects Apple to launch foldable iPhone in September 2026.

No US-China deal: Top trade officials for the two countries have concluded talks in Stockholm, Sweden, their third round of high-level discussions since May.

Bessent said that if an extension is not reached by the deadline, U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods will shoot back up to their April levels.

A potential extension of a tariff pause between the United States and China will not be final until President Donald Trump signs off on the plan, U.S. negotiators said.

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📈 Stocks

S&P 500 6,370.86 (-0.30%)
DJIA 44,632.99 (-0.46%)
NASDAQ 21,098.29 (-0.38%)
BRENT CRUDE 72.56 (+0.04%)
* Prices as of Jul 30th, 12:20 AM UTC

Big earnings are here

  • Visa reported fiscal third-quarter earnings that topped analysts' expectations, as the company's chief executive said it is working on developing AI and stablecoin products. Visa's payments volume increased 8% and its processed transactions grew 10%.

  • Starbucks reported that same-store sales fell for a sixth straight quarter as CEO Brian Niccol tries to implement a turnaround strategy. The company beat Wall Street’s quarterly revenue estimates, and comparable sales in China rose. The stock jumped nearly 5% after the report.

  • Royal Caribbean Cruise Group raised its full-year guidance and reported growth in bookings during the second quarter from the prior period, especially from travelers booking closer to their departure date. The company reported second-quarter adjusted earnings per share of $4.38 on revenue of $4.54 billion. Wall Street had expected earnings per share of $4.09 and revenue of $4.55 billion.

  • Spotify shares dropped 11% for their worst day in two years after the music streaming platform fell short of Wall Street’s revenue expectations and swung to a loss. Third-quarter guidance also came up short and ad-supported revenues dipped 1% from a year ago. “While I’m unhappy with where we are today, I remain confident in the ambitions we laid out for this business,” said CEO Daniel Ek on an earnings call.

  • UPS dropped 10% after reporting struggles in the U.S. small package market due to low consumer confidence. Q2 daily volumes from China to the U.S. fell 34.8% YoY due to tariffs. Management withheld full-year revenue and profit forecasts, citing economic uncertainty.

  • UnitedHealth gave 2025 earnings guidance that fell well short of Wall Street’s expectations. The company and the broader insurance industry are grappling with higher medical costs in Medicare Advantage plans. The report adds to a growing string of setbacks for the company, which owns the nation’s largest and most powerful insurer and is often viewed as the industry’s bellwether.

  • Booking Holdings stock slipped late Tuesday despite the online travel agency reporting second-quarter results that topped expectations. The company gave a slightly lower than expected sales forecast.

  • Novo Nordisk shares plunge 23% after Wegovy maker names new CEO, cuts full-year guidance. The company said the lower outlook was driven by weaker second-half U.S. sales growth forecasts for its Wegovy weight loss drug and Ozempic diabetes treatment.

  • PayPal beat on earnings and revenue for the second quarter. Transaction margin dollars rose 7% to $3.84 billion. Growth in that metric was down from 8% in the first quarter when excluding a one-time benefit. For a second quarter in a row, Venmo revenue grew more than 20% year over year. Yet, slow growth resulted in a fall of 8%.

  • Stellantis reported a first-half net loss of 2.3 billion euros $2.65 billion), compared to a net profit of 5.6 billion euros over the same period in 2024. The Jeep maker updated its full-year tariff impact to roughly 1.5 billion euros, of which 300 million euros was incurred during the first half.

  • Merck posted second-quarter revenue that missed estimates and narrowed its full-year guidance. Furthermore, the company will slash $3 billion in costs by the end of 2027 to be fully reinvested to support new product launches and its drug pipeline. The multiyear effort comes as Merck prepares to offset revenue losses from the upcoming patent expiration of its blockbuster cancer drug Keytruda in 2028, and braces for the Trump administration’s planned tariffs on pharmaceuticals imported into the U.S.

  • Shares of Singapore Airlines fell after the carrier reported a 59% decline in earnings. Singapore’s flagship carrier also noted that the loss stemmed from Air India’s financials.

  • Barclays is the latest bank to beat estimates and report higher revenue from its investment banking this quarter, after U.S. tariffs triggered intense market volatility. Pre-tax profit at the British lender came in at £2.5 billion, versus an analyst estimate of £2.23 billion, while revenues were in-line with forecasts at £7.2 billion. Barclays is meanwhile delivering on its cost-reduction targets.

  • Kering’s second-quarter revenues were down 15% amid weak demand at the luxury fashion house. Gucci sales, which make up nearly half of group revenues, plunged 25% over the quarter to 1.46 billion euros. The group flagged weaker sales across all markets, led by Japan and the wider Asia Pacific.

Upcoming: South Korean AI chip startup Rebellions raised money from tech giant Samsung as part of a funding round that could be up to $200 million. Rebellions is aiming to go public at some point after the current funding round is closed.

OpenAI launched "Study Mode" in ChatGPT, guiding students through problem-solving step by step. Available to Free, Plus, Pro, and Team users, it will soon extend to ChatGPT Edu. CEO Sam Altman, a Stanford dropout, stated his young child is unlikely to attend college.

Elsewhere, Cash App opens up to Apple Pay and Google Pay for the first time.

Falling: Eli Lilly dropped 5% despite reporting its cancer drug Jaypirca outperformed AbbVie’s Imbruvica, with plans for further testing on progression-free survival.

Sarepta Therapeutics surged 15% after the FDA permitted resumed shipping of its gene therapy Elevidys for children with Duchenne muscular dystrophy who can still walk.

💵 Personal Finance

Parenting Tips for Raising Successful Kids

Raising successful kids starts with the words we choose. Here are some tips to foster resilience, emotional health, and strong relationships in children.

  1. Encourage Effort Over Outcome
    Instead of "If you put your mind to it, you can accomplish anything," say: "Success is about trying your best." This fosters resilience and reduces self-blame when goals aren’t met.

  2. Promote Healthy Self-Care
    Replace "You can’t be selfish" with: "It’s okay to prioritize your needs sometimes." Teaching kids to balance self-care with kindness boosts self-worth and well-being.

  3. Validate Emotions
    Swap "You just have to look on the bright side" with: "It’s okay to feel upset; I’m here to help." Acknowledging tough emotions builds emotional resilience.

  4. Support Collaboration
    Instead of "You can do it all by yourself," say: "It’s strong to ask for help when you need it." Encouraging interdependence fosters problem-solving and healthy relationships.

  5. Normalize Emotional Expression
    Replace "Big kids don’t cry" with: "It’s okay to cry when you’re sad." Allowing kids to express emotions helps them make better decisions and avoid suppression.

  6. Teach Thoughtful Honesty
    Instead of "Honesty is always the best policy," explain: "Sometimes a kind lie, like praising grandma’s cooking, is okay to spare feelings." This builds trust and emotional intelligence.

💰 Be a Better Investor

“Money is only a tool. It will take you wherever you wish, but it will not replace you as the driver.”

Ayn Rand

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