- Morning Download
- Posts
- đ¤ Trump vs Powell
đ¤ Trump vs Powell
and investors aren't liking it
Good morning investors! Stocks fell again but Bitcoin appears to have people interested.
Today we cover:
Trump vs. Fed
Investors are leaving the US
Recession proof your career
Sponsor:
Drop Your Rate Today
Average expenditure: $88/month
Find the cheapest rates in 2 minutes
Steps: Enter your zip code
Fill in basic details
Get a cheaper rate
đ Economy and News
Trumpâs Fed Attacks Rattle Markets as Dollar Hits Three-Year Low
Donald Trump has intensified his attacks on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, demanding immediate rate cuts and even calling for Powellâs removalâa move that has shaken investor confidence and raised concerns about the central bankâs independence.
On Monday, Trump called Powell a âmajor loserâ and repeated demands for âpreemptive cuts,â warning of a slowing economy if rates arenât lowered soon. These comments followed his earlier declaration that Powellâs âtermination cannot come fast enough.â
The fallout was immediate. The U.S. dollar dropped to its lowest level in three years, while hitting a decade-low against the Swiss franc. The euro also climbed above $1.15. Markets are increasingly pricing in risk that political pressure could undermine the Fedâs policy decisions.
White House adviser Kevin Hassett confirmed the administration is exploring whether Trump can legally remove Powell, whose term runs through May 2026.
Meanwhile, Powell has pointed to Trumpâs own tariffs as a reason for caution, saying theyâre likely to cause at least a temporary rise in inflation. He signaled the Fed would wait for âgreater clarityâ before adjusting policy.
Analysts warn of serious risks. âIf Powell is fired, we could see stagflation trades surge, long-term yields spike, the dollar plunge, and risk premiums soarâlikely guaranteeing recession,â said Krishna Guha of Evercore ISI. âIf you liked the tariff debacle, youâd love the loss-of-Fed-independence trade.â
This is affecting several sectors, including gold that hit another record going above $3,400. The shiny metal has been on a tear this year as Trumpâs tariffs shake investor confidence and central banks buy up the precious metal.
Global hits:
Russian central bank expected to keep key rate on hold at 21%.
China retreats from US private equity investments.
Beijing warns countries against colluding with US to restrict trade with China.
Good to know: Airbnb will now show total prices by default. On the other hand, Trump hosts Walmart and Target CEOs, Home Depot and Loweâs execs for tariff meeting. Lastly, Court blocks DOGE access to sensitive personal data at Social Security Administration.
Which is the parent company of Google? |
Sponsored by Finance Buzz
Pay No Interest Until Nearly 2027 AND Earn 5% Cash Back
Some credit cards can help you get out of debt faster with a 0% intro APR on balance transfers. Transfer your balance, pay it down interest-free, and save money. FinanceBuzz reviewed top cards and found the best optionsâone even offers 0% APR into 2027 + 5% cash back!
đ Stocks
S&P 500 5,158.20 (+%) (-2.36%)
DJIA 38,170.41 (+%) (-2.48%)
NASDAQ 15,870.90 (+%) (-2.55%)
BRENT CRUDE 66.26 (-2.42%)
* Prices as of Apr 22nd, 12:20 AM UTC
Tariffs, Tech, and Turbulence: Investors Turn Away from US Markets
Global markets are shifting as confidence in US exceptionalism fades under President Donald Trumpâs trade agenda. Despite promises of a âgolden age,â US stocks are losing appeal as tariffs and unpredictable policies rattle investors.
The S&P 500, down 10% this year is on pace for its worst month since 2022. Bank of America reports record numbers of fund managers pulling back from US stocks, with 73% saying US dominance has peaked.
Key triggers for this pivot include Chinaâs AI advances with DeepSeek, Europeâs renewed defense spending, and Trumpâs tariff chaos. Investment managers are increasingly balancing US holdings with European assets.
Meanwhile, gold prices have surged 27%, the US dollar is weakening, and concerns over a global recession grow. JPMorgan now sees a 60% chance of a downturn, as investors seek safer and more diverse global options.
With US policy now seen as a source of instability, many believe the S&P 500 is no longer the worldâs default investment destination.
All eyes are set on big earnings that started last week with Netflix beating and continue this week with Tesla and Google.
Controversial: FTC sues Uber, says company charged for Uber One without consent. Elsewhere, a Boeing jet intended for use by a Chinese airline landed back at the planemakerâs U.S. production hub, a victim of the tit-for-tat bilateral tariffs. Lastly, DHL to suspend global shipments of over $800 to US consumers.
Check this: Tesla shares fell nearly 6% on Monday ahead of its Q1 earnings report, as investors await clarity on CEO Elon Muskâs plans. The stock is down 44% year-to-date after its worst quarter since 2022. Elsewhere, Amazon has paused some data center lease commitments. Also, Google says DOJâs proposal for breakup would harm U.S. in âglobal race with Chinaâ.
đľ Personal Finance
How to Recession-Proof Your Career in an Uncertain Job Market
With fears of a recession looming, many Americans are taking proactive steps to secure their finances and job stability. As spending patterns shift, some professions are proving more resilient than othersâespecially those tied to essential goods and services.
Jobs Closest to Essentials Offer the Most Stability
According to Cory Stahle, an economist at Indeed, roles linked to necessities like health care and groceries are the most recession-resistant. In health care, demand remains high for nurses, doctors, therapists, and surgeonsâa trend that surged during the pandemic and hasnât slowed.
Similarly, grocery and supply chain workers, including cashiers, stockers, and truck loaders, are critical to keeping basic goods available. âYou might have to change the type of food youâre eating, but youâre still going to have basic needs,â Stahle says.
White-Collar Roles May Face More Risk
In contrast, some white-collar positionsâparticularly in software development and marketingâare more vulnerable. However, Stahle emphasizes that job security isnât just about the role itself but the industry itâs in. For instance, a software developer at a hospital might be safer than one at a tech startup.
Job Growth Is Concentrated in Just a Few Sectors
The job market also varies widely by region and sector. According to Indeed, job postings in the South are up 20% from pre-pandemic levels, while the West and Northeastâhome to many tech firmsâhave seen declines.
Three sectorsâhealth care and social assistance, government, and leisure and hospitalityâaccounted for 75% of new jobs in 2024. Meanwhile, software development jobs have dropped by 33% compared to before the pandemic. Even federal government roles, once considered ultra-secure, are now at risk under the Trump administrationâs budget cuts.
This uneven recovery has created what Stahle calls a âbifurcationâ in the labor market. âIf you average out the temperature of freezing cold water and boiling water, you get something in the middle,â he says. âBut thereâs obviously a big difference between freezing water and boiling water.â
Preparing for Uncertainty
For those in less stable roles, Stahle advises thinking long term. âA career isnât something that happens over a year or two,â he says. âWe need to be thinking in the longer term of decades.â
Workers should focus on building relevant skillsâespecially basic digital literacy like spreadsheet use and email communicationâregardless of AI trends. While thereâs no foolproof way to avoid layoffs, increasing your value to an employer can shorten the time between jobs if disruptions occur.
âLayoff-proofing your job may not be completely possible,â Stahle says, âbut being able to build out your skills can go a long way.â
đ° Be a Better Investor
"When I had money everyone called me brother."
What did you think of today's newsletter? |
đŠđ˝ââď¸ Legal Stuff
Nothing in this newsletter is financial advice. Always do your own research and think for yourself.