👀 What to expect this week

and Nvidia is going to report

Good morning investors! The market had its worst day in 2025 on Friday due to economic reports highlighting a fall in consumer sentiment. With more reports expected this week, we’re ready for fireworks.

Today we cover:

  • What to expect this week

  • Nvidia to report

  • Tax credits

📊 Economy and News 

What to expect this week

A lot is expected this week, including Nvidia’s report. Here’s what to keep an eye on?

Monday, Feb. 24

  • Earnings: Oneok (OKE), Public Storage (PSA)

Tuesday, Feb. 25

  • Economic Reports: FHFA House Price Index, S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index, Consumer Confidence

  • Fed Speeches: Dallas Fed’s Lorie Logan, Richmond Fed’s Tom Barkin

  • Earnings: Home Depot, Intuit (INTU), American Tower (AMT), Bank of Montreal (BMO), Workday (WDAY), Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS), Axon Enterprise (AXON), Lucid Group (LCID)

Wednesday, Feb. 26

  • Economic Reports: New Home Sales

  • Fed Speech: Atlanta Fed’s Raphael Bostic

  • Earnings: Nvidia, Salesforce, Lowe’s, TJX (TJX), Anheuser-Busch (BUD), Synopsys (SNPS), Snowflake (SNOW), Stellantis, Agilent (A), eBay (EBAY), Paramount Global (PARA)

Thursday, Feb. 27

  • Economic Reports: Initial Jobless Claims, Durable Goods Orders, GDP (Q4 Revision), Pending Home Sales

  • Fed Speeches: Cleveland Fed’s Beth Hammack, Philadelphia Fed’s Patrick Harker

  • Earnings: Royal Bank of Canada (RY), Toronto Dominion Bank (TD), Dell Technologies (DELL), Autodesk (ADSK), Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD)

Friday, Feb. 28

  • Economic Reports: PCE Price Index, Trade Balance, Wholesale & Retail Inventories, Chicago Business Barometer

  • Fed Speech: Chicago Fed’s Austan Goolsbee

Global hits:

Controversial: U.S. could cut Ukraine’s access to Starlink internet services over minerals.

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📈 Stocks

S&P 500 6,013.13 (-1.71%)
DJIA 43,428.02 (-1.69%)
NASDAQ 19,524.01 (-2.20%)
BRENT CRUDE 76.54 (-2.69%)
* Prices as of Feb 23rd, 12:20 AM UTC

Nivdia is our Investment of the Week

The section below appeared in our PRO issue where we cover Asset of the Week, i.e.: stocks that are likely to offer high returns in a specific week. This week, we chose Nvidia.

Also, this week we discussed Visa, which we last covered in February 2024 and called it a BUY giving it a $310 target that it touched in November 2024. Check this week’s issue to know what we had to say about Visa and if it’s still a buy. Upgrade for only $3.99 per month.

Nvidia (NVDA) is set to report its fourth-quarter earnings on February 26, 2025, after market close. The stock has dipped over 4% in the past month, but analysts see strong catalysts ahead, making it a potential buy-the-dip opportunity.

Bank of America remains bullish on Nvidia, citing its strong product pipeline and expansion into new markets such as robotics and quantum technologies, which will be key topics at its upcoming GTC conference. Despite recent volatility, analysts expect the company’s earnings report to provide solid financial performance, even if it lacks immediate excitement.

From a trading perspective, Nvidia’s options market has historically overestimated its post-earnings stock movement. Over the last 12 quarters, the predicted earnings move was ±8.4% on average, while the actual move was closer to 7.6%. This suggests that options heading into earnings may be overpriced, making a high-cost straddle trade a risky bet.

Long-term investors focused on AI-driven growth may see this earnings report as a checkpoint rather than a decisive event. With Nvidia's continued leadership in AI chips and potential for market expansion, the stock remains a strong contender for those with an appetite for volatility and long-term growth.

💵 Personal Finance

Many Taxpayers Qualify for Refundable Credits Worth Thousands—Even Without Filing Requirements

Millions of taxpayers can claim tax credits worth hundreds or even thousands of dollars, even if they aren’t required to file a return. The IRS encourages lower earners to submit a tax return to take advantage of refundable credits like the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) and Additional Child Tax Credit (ACTC), which can result in substantial refunds.

How the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) Works

Designed for low- to moderate-income workers, the EITC offers up to $7,830 for families with three or more children in 2024. Even childless workers aged 25 to 64 can receive up to $632. Eligibility is based on earned income, with limits of $59,899 for single filers and $66,819 for married couples filing jointly. However, nearly 1 in 5 eligible taxpayers miss out on this credit due to a lack of awareness.

Who Qualifies for the Child Tax Credit (CTC)?

Families earning over $2,500 with children under 17 may qualify for the Child Tax Credit, worth up to $2,000 per child. The refundable portion, or ACTC, allows eligible filers to claim up to $1,700 per child. The credit begins to phase out for single filers earning over $200,000 and married couples earning over $400,000.

Claiming Your Refund

Because both the EITC and ACTC are refundable, eligible filers can receive money back even if they owe no taxes. The IRS cannot issue refunds for these credits before mid-February, but taxpayers can track their status using the “Where’s My Refund?” tool or IRS2Go app.

💰 Be a Better Investor

“The individual investor should act consistently as an investor and not as a speculator.”

Ben Graham

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Nothing in this newsletter is financial advice. Always do your own research and think for yourself.