Good morning investors! The situation in The Middle Easy is worsening and stocks are starting to lose steam due to unpredictability as investors turn to safe haven assets.

Today we cover:

  • What to expect this week

  • Boeing’s troubles

  • Brazil wants B

Do you expect the situation in the Middle East to escalate?

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📊 Economy and News

What to expect this week

Here’s all you need to keep an eye on this week:

Monday, June 16

  • Data Release: Empire State Manufacturing Survey (June)

  • Earnings: Lennar (LEN) reports after market close, following prior warnings of housing market weakness.

Tuesday, June 17

  • Data Releases:

    • U.S. Retail Sales (May), indicating consumer spending trends.

    • Homebuilder Confidence (June), reflecting construction industry outlook.

    • Import/Export Price Index (May).

    • Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization (May).

    • Business Inventories (April).

  • Earnings: Jabil (JBL), John Wiley & Sons (WLY), La-Z-Boy (LZB).

Wednesday, June 18

  • Data Releases:

    • Housing Starts (May), showing construction activity levels.

    • Initial Jobless Claims (Week ending June 14).

  • Federal Reserve:

    • FOMC Interest-Rate Decision, expected to maintain current rates.

    • Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference, providing economic and rate insights.

  • Earnings: GMS (GMS).

Thursday, June 19

  • Market Closure: Financial markets closed for Juneteenth holiday.

  • Earnings: Smith & Wesson Brands (SWBI).

Friday, June 20

  • Data Releases:

    • Leading Economic Indicators (May).

    • Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey (June).

  • Earnings: Accenture (ACN), Kroger (KR), Darden Restaurants (DRI), CarMax (KMX), following prior quarters’ lower-than-expected profits for some.

We may also hear more from Tesla as it is expected to roll out its robotaxi service in Austin this month. Plus, updates from Iran and Israel are also expected.

Global hits:

Exciting: U.S. National Parks, national monuments and more public lands will be free on Juneteenth—and 5 other days this year.

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📈 Stocks

S&P 500 5,976.97 (-1.13%)
DJIA 42,197.79 (-1.79%)
NASDAQ 19,406.83 (-1.30%)
BRENT CRUDE 75.66 (+1.93%)
* Prices as of Jun 16th, 12:20 AM UTC

India Orders Inspections of Boeing 787s And Company Trims Expectations

India’s aviation regulator has mandated urgent inspections of all Boeing 787 Dreamliners operated by domestic airlines following a deadly crash involving an Air India 787-8 on June 12. It, however, has not grounded the model. The aircraft, en route from Ahmedabad to London, crashed shortly after takeoff, killing over 200 people.

Boeing said it would defer to India’s AAIB in line with the international aviation protocol known as annex 13, which also requires officials from the US to join the investigation due to it being the country of manufacture, and UK investigators due to the number of Britons onboard.

Boeing will be joined by a team from GE Aerospace, which supplied the engines powering flight AI171. GE said it had cancelled a planned investor day next week, coinciding with the Paris show, and would send experts to India to help analyse the data from the 787.

Plus, Boeing has trimmed projection for 20-year jet demand indicating trouble. It projects a demand for 43,600 new airliners through 2044, a figure nearly identical to last year’s forecast of 43,975 deliveries through 2043.

This includes approximately 33,300 single-aisle jets, such as the 737 MAX, about 7,800 widebody jets, 955 factory-built freighters, and 1,545 regional jets. Single-aisle jets, which also include Airbus’s A320neo family, account for roughly four out of every five deliveries currently.

While the delivery outlook remains stable, Boeing revised its 20-year forecast downward, lowering passenger traffic growth from 4.7% to 4.2%, global economic growth from 2.6% to 2.3%, cargo traffic growth from 4.1% to 3.7%, and fleet growth from 3.2% to 3.1%.

In contrast, Airbus, Boeing’s European rival, recently increased its 20-year commercial demand forecast by 2%, projecting a need for 43,420 jets through 2044, citing the air transport industry’s resilience amid ongoing trade tensions.

The stock had only started to recover but is now down 5% in the last week. Analysts suggest the inspections—and potential for broader regulatory scrutiny—could affect Boeing’s future deliveries and maintenance contracts, especially in international markets.

Surprising: Anne Wojcicki to buy back 23andMe and its data for $305 million.

🔐 Crypto

Bitcoin $105,334 (-0.03%)
Ether $2,542 (-0.12%)
Solana $144.25 (+0.01%)
Total market cap $3.29t (-0.03%)
* Prices as of Jun 16th, 12:20 AM UTC

Brazil to Integrate BTC into National Reserves

Brazil is on track to potentially become the first G20 nation to integrate Bitcoin into its national reserves, with proposed legislation advancing in Congress to allocate up to 5% of its $370 billion foreign exchange reserves—approximately $18.5 billion—into a Strategic Sovereign Bitcoin Reserve.

Unlike El Salvador’s executive-driven adoption of Bitcoin as legal tender, Brazil’s approach is grounded in a formal legislative process, aiming to provide institutional legitimacy and stability to the initiative.

The bill, currently under review, outlines a structured framework for acquiring and managing Bitcoin as part of Brazil’s sovereign wealth strategy. Analysts suggest that Brazil’s legislative model could serve as a blueprint for integrating cryptocurrencies into global sovereign wealth management, balancing innovation with regulatory oversight.

This move could drive prices well above $150,000, with some estimates suggesting even higher surges depending on market liquidity and global investor sentiment.

💵 Personal Finance

Overcoming Functional Freeze

Functional freeze, a stress-induced state where even high-achieving individuals struggle with motivation after work, can undermine productivity.

Despite appearing successful, those affected may feel emotionally numb, isolate themselves, or excessively scroll social media, leading to reduced efficiency and higher burnout risks. This state, common among professionals, results in financial losses due to decreased output and increased errors, impacting overall economic performance.

To address functional freeze, experts recommend gentle somatic exercises like mindful stretching or micro-movements, such as ear-pulling, to stimulate energy without overwhelming the body.

A 20-minute walk can also enhance emotional resilience, while meditation should be avoided as it may worsen symptoms, according to some experts.

By implementing movement-based wellness programs, businesses can reduce productivity losses, lower turnover costs, and improve financial outcomes, fostering a healthier, more engaged workforce.

💰 Be a Better Investor

“If you make meaning, you’ll make money.

Guy Kawasaki

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Nothing in this newsletter is financial advice. Always do your own research and think for yourself.

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